I love the movies. It’s as much a part of me as is technology.

As I told a friend the Academy Awards is like my Superbowl.  It’s the one event where you better not call or e-mail cause you’re not going to get a hold of me.

This year I managed to see 9 of the 10 movies nominated for Best Picture.
The only one I missed was 127 Hours. Unfortunately it was only playing at theaters a fair distance away from me and I don’t know any academy members.

However, having now seen the majority of them I’m gonna offer my opinion (like so many others) on who I think should win, and will likely win. Some of them will be absolutely wild guesses.

Feel free to use my picks in your Oscar party pools. If you win big as a result of this list, feel free to send a Starbucks gift card my way. You know, if you’re feeling generous. 🙂

Best Picture
“Black Swan,”
“The Fighter” COULD WIN
“Inception,” SHOULD WIN
“The Kids Are All Right,”
“The King’s Speech,” WILL MOST LIKELY WIN (MUCH DESERVED)
“127 Hours,”
“The Social Network,”
“Toy Story 3”
“True Grit”
“Winter’s Bone”

Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”
Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”
Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”
Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech” SHOULD  & WILL WIN
James Franco in “127 Hours”

Actor in a Supporting Role
Christian Bale in “The Fighter” SHOULD & WILL WIN
John Hawkes in “Winter’s Bone”
Jeremy Renner in “The Town”
Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”
Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech”

Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”
Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”
Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter’s Bone”
Natalie Portman in “Black Swan” SHOULD & WILL WIN
Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”

Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams in “The Fighter”
Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech”
Melissa Leo in “The Fighter” WILL WIN
Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit” SHOULD WIN
Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”

Animated Feature Film
“How to Train Your Dragon” POSSIBLE UPSET WIN
“The Illusionist”
“Toy Story 3” SHOULD AND MOST LIKELY WILL WIN

Art Direction
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1”
“Inception”
“The King’s Speech” WILL WIN
“True Grit”

Cinematography
“Black Swan,”
“Inception,” SHOULD WIN
“The King’s Speech,” WILL WIN
“The Social Network,”
“True Grit,”

Costume Design
“Alice in Wonderland,” SHOULD AND WILL WIN
“I Am Love,”
“The King’s Speech,”
“The Tempest,”
“True Grit”

Directing
“Black Swan,” Darren Aronofsky SHOULD WIN
“The Fighter,” David O. Russell
“The King’s Speech,” Tom Hooper WILL WIN
“The Social Network,” David Fincher
“True Grit,” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Documentary (Feature)
“Exit through the Gift Shop,” WILL WIN…WILD GUESS
“Gasland,”
“Inside Job,”
“Restrepo,”
“Waste Land,”

Documentary (Short Subject)
“Killing in the Name”
“Poster Girl”
“Strangers No More”
“Sun Come Up” WILL WIN – ANOTHER WILD GUESS
“The Warriors of Qiugang”

Film Editing
“Black Swan” SHOULD WIN
“The Fighter”
“The King’s Speech”
“127 Hours”
“The Social Network” WILL WIN

Foreign Language Film
“Biutiful,” Mexico WILL WIN
“Dogtooth,” Greece
“In a Better World,” Denmark
“Incendies,” Canada
“Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi),” Algeria

Makeup
“Barney’s Version,”
“The Way Back,”
“The Wolfman,”  SHOULD AND WILL WIN

Music (Original Score)
“How to Train Your Dragon,” John Powell
“Inception,” Hans Zimmer SHOULD AND WILL WIN
“The King’s Speech,” Alexandre Desplat
“127 Hours,” A.R. Rahman
“The Social Network,” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

Music (Original Song)
“Coming Home” from “Country Strong,”
“I See the Light” from “Tangled,” SHOULD WIN
“If I Rise” from “127 Hours,”
“We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3,” WILL MOST LIKELY WIN

Short Film (Animated)
“Day & Night,”
“The Gruffalo,”
“Let’s Pollute,”
“The Lost Thing,”  WILL WIN – YET ANOTHER WILD GUESS
“Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)”

Short Film (Live Action)
“The Confession,”
“The Crush,”
“God of Love,”  WILL WIN – ONE MORE WILD GUESS
“Na Wewe,”
“Wish 143,”

Sound Editing
“Inception,” SHOULD AND WILL WIN
“Toy Story 3,”
“Tron: Legacy,”
“True Grit,”
“Unstoppable,”

Sound Mixing
“Inception,” SHOULD AND WILL WIN
“The King’s Speech,”
“Salt,”
“The Social Network,”
“True Grit,”

Visual Effects
“Alice in Wonderland,”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1,”
“Hereafter,”
“Inception,” SHOULD AND WILL WIN
“Iron Man 2,”

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
“127 Hours,”
“The Social Network,” SHOULD AND WILL WIN – PURE GENIUS WRITING
“Toy Story 3,”
“True Grit,”
“Winter’s Bone,”

Writing (Original Screenplay)
“Another Year,”
“The Fighter,”
“Inception,” SHOULD & WILL LIKELY WIN
“The Kids Are All Right,”
“The King’s Speech,” POSSIBLE WIN, STILL DESERVED